Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000054 0.000056 0.000059 0.000062 0.000065 0.000069
2025-04-13 0.000045 0.000049 0.000052 0.000056 0.000061 0.000066 0.000072
2025-04-20 0.000041 0.000045 0.000049 0.000054 0.000060 0.000066 0.000074
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000043 0.000047 0.000053 0.000060 0.000067 0.000076
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000042 0.000047 0.000054 0.000061 0.000070 0.000082
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000042 0.000047 0.000054 0.000063 0.000073 0.000087
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000056 0.000066 0.000079 0.000096
2025-05-25 0.000035 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000097
2025-06-01 0.000033 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000077 0.000096
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000101
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000054 0.000066 0.000082 0.000106
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000065 0.000081 0.000106
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000051 0.000063 0.000080 0.000106
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000033 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000105
2025-07-13 0.000026 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000077 0.000104
2025-07-20 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000046 0.000059 0.000077 0.000106
2025-07-27 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000080 0.000112
2025-08-03 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000061 0.000082 0.000118
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000030 0.000038 0.000049 0.000064 0.000088 0.000130
2025-08-17 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000063 0.000087 0.000130
2025-08-24 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062 0.000086 0.000129
2025-08-31 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062 0.000088 0.000134
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000046 0.000064 0.000091 0.000142